Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004818 0.005080 0.005350 0.005649 0.005971 0.006308 0.006688
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004353 0.004741 0.005159 0.005643 0.006192 0.006797 0.007517
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004034 0.004490 0.004994 0.005597 0.006305 0.007115 0.008118
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003757 0.004249 0.004807 0.005492 0.006317 0.007288 0.008533
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003540 0.004058 0.004657 0.005407 0.006333 0.007451 0.008927
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003404 0.003951 0.004595 0.005417 0.006453 0.007737 0.009479
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003182 0.003728 0.004378 0.005221 0.006301 0.007664 0.009555
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003088 0.003654 0.004338 0.005240 0.006417 0.007935 0.010093
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003060 0.003660 0.004395 0.005381 0.006694 0.008426 0.010957
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002943 0.003547 0.004296 0.005313 0.006688 0.008534 0.011289
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002855 0.003468 0.004236 0.005291 0.006741 0.008721 0.011739
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002759 0.003374 0.004152 0.005233 0.006738 0.008826 0.012073
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002722 0.003356 0.004169 0.005314 0.006936 0.009231 0.012891
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002653 0.003295 0.004125 0.005309 0.007010 0.009461 0.013456
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002575 0.003218 0.004057 0.005267 0.007028 0.009605 0.013893
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002482 0.003117 0.003953 0.005169 0.006959 0.009613 0.014105
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002402 0.003032 0.003866 0.005092 0.006915 0.009655 0.014373
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002356 0.002991 0.003841 0.005100 0.006999 0.009898 0.014996
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002248 0.002863 0.003688 0.004920 0.006788 0.009664 0.014777
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002212 0.002832 0.003672 0.004937 0.006880 0.009918 0.015432
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002214 0.002854 0.003731 0.005067 0.007152 0.010477 0.016676
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002155 0.002789 0.003663 0.005005 0.007117 0.010526 0.016984
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002112 0.002746 0.003624 0.004985 0.007149 0.010688 0.017515